Analysis and Consulting on Economic Problems and Public Finance
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107031 Russia, Moscow Office Center "PETROVKA" Office #500 map Phone: (495) 626-4581
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Forecast
| Short-Run Estimates | from 20.01.2011 | |||
| Indicators |
Historical Data |
Forecast |
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| Unit | ||||
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2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
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| Real GDP | -7,9 | 3,9 | 4,1 | % change (y-o-y) |
| Nominal GDP | 39016 | 45825 | 50989 | Bln. Rb, Current Prices |
| Index of Industrial Production | -10,8 | 8,2 | 5,1 | % change (y-o-y) |
| Retail Sales, Real | -5,5 | 4,6 | 3,7 | % change (y-o-y) |
| Fixed Capital Investment, Real | -17,0 | 5,9 | 8,9 | % change (y-o-y) |
| Disposable Personal Income, Real | 1,9 | 3,3 | 3,5 | % change (y-o-y) |
| Average Monthly Wage | 575 | 675 | 723 | USD |
| Consumer Price Index | 8,8 | 8,8 | 8,0 | % change (eop/Dec) |
| Exchange Rate | 30,2 | 30,5 | 31,8 | Rb/USD (eop) |
| M2-Money (national definition) | 16,3 | 32 | 25 | % change (eop/Dec) |
| Federal Budget Balance | -6,0 | -3,9 | -1,9 | % of GDP |
| Merchandise Export (fob) | 303,3 | 398,0 | 422,3 | Bln. USD |
| Merchandise Import (fob) | 192,7 | 248,8 | 284,4 | Bln. USD |
| Trade Balance (fob-fob) | 110,6 | 149,2 | 137,9 | Bln. USD |
| Current Account Balance | 47,5 | 72,6 | 57,5 | Bln. USD |
| Foreign Currency Reserves (excl. Gold) | 416,7 | 479,4 | 541,9 | Bln. USD (eop) |
| Average Price of Urals Crude Oil | 60,8 | 78,4 | 80,0 | USD per barrel |
E-mail: eeg@eeg.ru
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