Analysis and Consulting on Economic Problems and Public Finance
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Short-Run Estimates |
12.08.2009 | |||
| Indicators |
Historical Data |
Forecast |
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Unit | ||||
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2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
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| Real GDP | 5,6 | -8,5 | 0,5 | % change (y-o-y) |
| Nominal GDP | 41540 | 39259 | 44024 | Bln. Rb, Current Prices |
| Index of Industrial Production | 2,1 | -13,0 | 0,5 | % change (y-o-y) |
| Retail Sales, Real | 13,0 | -6,0 | -0,5 | % change (y-o-y) |
| Fixed Capital Investment, Real | 9,1 | -24,0 | -3,0 | % change (y-o-y) |
| Disposable Personal Income, Real | 2,7 | -6,5 | 0,5 | % change (y-o-y) |
| Average Monthly Wage | 690 | 561 | 589 | USD |
| Consumer Price Index | 13,3 | 11,0 | 10,0 | % change (eop/Dec) |
| Exchange Rate | 29,4 | 32,2 | 34,1 | Rb/USD (eop) |
| M2-Money (national definition) | 1,7 | 11,0 | 17,0 | % change (eop/Dec) |
| Federal Budget Balance | 4,1 | -8,0 | -7,0 | % of GDP |
| Merchandise Export (fob) | 469,0 | 285,0 | 323,0 | Bln. USD |
| Merchandise Import (fob) | 292,5 | 203,0 | 214,0 | Bln. USD |
| Trade Balance (fob-fob) | 176,5 | 82,0 | 109,0 | Bln. USD |
| Current Account Balance | 98,9 | 33,4 | 64,4 | Bln. USD |
| Foreign Currency Reserves (excl. Gold) | 412,5 | 395,0 | 420,0 | Bln. USD (eop) |
| Average Price of Urals Crude Oil | 93,9 | 55,5 | 63,0 | USD per barrel |