![]() Analysis and Consulting on Economic Problems and Public Finance
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2018 (Dec. to Dec.) |
Jan.-Oct. 2018 |
Jan.-Oct. 2019 |
Oct. 2018 |
Oct. 2019 | |
PPI, % |
4,3 |
2,9 |
2,4 |
0,4 |
0,1 |
11,7 |
11,11 |
-2,81 |
1,31 |
-0,31 | |
USD/RUB real appreciation, % |
8,0 |
3,6 |
-1,2 |
-0,8 |
-0,4 |
Real effective exchange rate, % |
-10,8 |
-10,7 |
4,5 |
2,9 |
1,0 |
CPI, % |
-7,0 |
-6,3 |
6,1 |
3,3 |
0,5 |
|
2018 |
Jan.-Oct. 2018 |
Jan.-Oct. 2019 |
Oct. 2018 |
Oct. 2019 |
GDP, Rub. bln. |
103 876 |
83 0433 |
88 4193 |
92933 |
96433 |
Average price of Urals crude oil, USD/bbl |
70,0 |
71,6 |
63,5 |
79,3 |
58,5 |
RUB/USD average exchange rate |
62,5 |
61,7 |
65,0 |
65,9 |
64,4 |
|
Jan.-Sep. 2019 as % to Jan.-Sep. 2018 |
Sep. 2019 as % to Sep. 2018 |
Sep. 2019 as % to Aug. 2019 |
Seasonally adjusted output in the 5 basic sectors |
101,8 |
102,9 |
108,6 |
Industrial production |
102,7 |
103,0 |
102,7 |
Federal Budget Execution |
|
2018 |
Budget Law 20194 |
Jan.-Oct. 20195 |
Sep. 2019 |
Oct. 20195 |
Revenues |
Rub. bln. |
19455 |
20175 |
16670 |
1778 |
1635 |
% GDP |
18,7 |
18,5 |
18,9 |
18,5 |
17,0 | |
Oil&Gas Revenues |
Rub. bln. |
9018 |
8239 |
6677 |
601 |
669 |
% GDP |
8,7 |
7,6 |
7,6 |
6,3 |
6,9 | |
Expenditures |
Rub. bln. |
16713 |
18294 |
13598 |
1366 |
1650 |
% GDP |
16,1 |
16,8 |
15,4 |
14,2 |
17,1 | |
Debt service |
Rub. bln. |
806 |
819 |
613 |
61 |
81 |
% GDP |
0,8 |
0,8 |
0,7 |
0,6 |
0,8 | |
Balance (+ surplus / - deficit) |
Rub. bln. |
2742 |
1881 |
3071 |
412 |
-15 |
% GDP |
2,6 |
1,7 |
3,5 |
4,3 |
-0,2 | |
Primary surplus(+) / deficit(-) |
Rub. bln. |
3548 |
2700 |
3684 |
473 |
66 |
% GDP |
3,4 |
2,5 |
4,2 |
4,9 |
0,7 | |
Non Oil&Gas Balance |
Rub. bln. |
-6276 |
-6358 |
-3605 |
-188 |
-684 |
% GDP |
-6,0 |
-5,8 |
-4,1 |
-2,0 |
-7,1 |
1 As on the 1st day of the month.
2 Narrow definiton.
3 Estimate.
4 Subject to amendments adopted in July 2019.
5 Preliminary data.